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Did National Weather Service cuts lead to the Texas flood disaster? We don’t know

(5 months ago)
Rebecca Solnit
Donald TrumpUnited StatesEnvironmentClimate crisisTexas floods 2025Extreme weather

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Following the devastating Independence Day floods in Texas's Hill Country, which caused numerous deaths, a debate has emerged over whether cuts to the National Weather Service (NWS) contributed to the disaster. While some experts and politicians suggest staffing shortages or budget cuts played a role, the article emphasizes that definitive answers are not yet available. Meteorologists state the NWS accurately predicted flood risk but could not foresee the extreme severity, highlighting the roles of climate change and local preparedness issues.

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  1. 1 Just days before the flood: Texas Senator Ted Cruz helped pass the 'Big Beautiful Bill', which slashed $200 million from NOAA’s weather forecasting programs.
  2. 2 Thursday: Weather forecasts began to hint at the potential for heavy rain.
  3. 3 Early Friday morning (Independence Day): Severe rainfall inundated parts of Central Texas, causing flash flooding.
  4. 4 Sunday: Kerr County sent its first cell-phone alert regarding the flood.
  • High death toll from floods
  • Public and political debate over government service funding and disaster preparedness
  • Increased awareness of climate change impacts and the need for vigilance in information consumption.
What: A debate is ongoing regarding whether cuts to the National Weather Service (NWS) contributed to the recent deadly flash floods in Texas, with some suggesting a link and others arguing the NWS issued accurate warnings despite cuts.
When: Independence Day (recent floods), Friday morning (severe rainfall), Thursday (forecasts hinted at heavy rain), Sunday (Kerr county's first cell-phone alert), just days before the flood (Ted Cruz helped pass bill).
Where: Texas’s Hill Country, Central Texas, Kerr County, Guadalupe River, Austin/San Antonio (NWS station).
Why: To understand the causes of the high death toll in the Texas floods. Blame is being directed at federal service cuts (by critics of Trump/Doge) or local authorities (by those avoiding culpability). Climate change is also cited as a contributing factor to extreme weather.
How: The debate is fueled by speculative media reports and social media amplification. The article urges caution in drawing conclusions, noting that the NWS issued warnings, but challenges existed in public reception and local response. Senator Ted Cruz's role in cutting NOAA funding is also highlighted.

Following the devastating Independence Day floods in Texas's Hill Country, which caused numerous deaths, a debate has emerged over whether cuts to the National Weather Service (NWS) contributed to the disaster. While some experts and politicians suggest staffing shortages or budget cuts played a role, the article emphasizes that definitive answers are not yet available. Meteorologists state the NWS accurately predicted flood risk but could not foresee the extreme severity, highlighting the roles of climate change and local preparedness issues.