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Opinion: Canada has much to learn from the Israel-Iran war as we boost defence spending

(5 months ago)
Eliot Pence
BusinessCommentary

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Eliot Pence argues that Canada's recently announced significant increase in defence spending, committed by Prime Minister Mark Carney, should be guided by lessons from the brief but intense Israel-Iran conflict. He emphasizes the need for Canada to prepare for both rapid, high-volume 'flash wars' and long-term, attritional proxy conflicts, requiring a dual approach to procurement and industrial base development to effectively modernize its Armed Forces.

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  1. 1 Recently (Wednesday): Prime Minister Mark Carney commits to a significant defence spending increase.
  2. 2 Recently (This week): A ceasefire is declared in the Israel-Iran conflict after 10 days of intense air campaigns.
  3. 3 2035: Canada is committed to boosting defence spending to 5% of GDP.
  • Potential shift in Canada's defence procurement and strategy
  • Adaptation of military doctrine to modern warfare
  • Empowerment of small manufacturers alongside large traditional defence contractors
  • Increased resilience and sophistication of Canada's Armed Forces
What: An opinion piece arguing that Canada should learn from the recent Israel-Iran conflict to guide its significant increase in defence spending.
When: The ceasefire in the Israel-Iran conflict occurred 'this week' (article published June 27, 2025), after a 10-day conflict. Prime Minister Mark Carney's announcement was on Wednesday.
Where: Canada, Middle East (Israel, Iran, Yemen, Lebanon, Syria, Iraq), Red Sea, Ukraine.
Why: To ensure Canada's increased defence spending is effectively utilized to prepare for the dual modes of modern warfare: rapid, high-volume escalation and long-term, attritional proxy conflicts.
How: By analyzing the Israel-Iran conflict's characteristics (flash war vs. proxy war), the author suggests Canada needs to rethink procurement, production, and military doctrine to accommodate both expensive, long-lead systems and cheap, rapidly deployable 'attritable' systems.

Eliot Pence argues that Canada's recently announced significant increase in defence spending, committed by Prime Minister Mark Carney, should be guided by lessons from the brief but intense Israel-Iran conflict. He emphasizes the need for Canada to prepare for both rapid, high-volume 'flash wars' and long-term, attritional proxy conflicts, requiring a dual approach to procurement and industrial base development to effectively modernize its Armed Forces.