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Are we heading for a recession? Show me your nails

(2 weeks ago)
Arwa Mahdawi
EconomicsUS economic growth and recessionEconomic growth (GDP)Business

AI Summary

TL;DR: Key points with love ❤️

The article discusses the emerging 'recession nails' trend on TikTok, where influencers suggest that a wobbly economy leads people to opt for understated, neutral manicures instead of elaborate, expensive ones. It explores the concept of using non-traditional indicators like the 'lipstick effect' and 'men's underwear index' to gauge economic health, while also presenting an economist's view that such trends are merely fashion cycles unrelated to the economy.

Trending
  1. 1 'Lipstick effect' and 'men's underwear index' previously cited as indicators
  2. 2 Current 'recession nails' trend on TikTok
  • Potential misinterpretation of economic signals if relying on non-traditional indicators
  • Viral internet trends
What: The concept of 'recession nails' as an economic indicator, where people opt for simpler manicures during economic downturns, is being discussed by influencers. This is compared to other non-traditional indicators like the 'lipstick effect' and 'men's underwear index.'
When: Currently (present trend), article published 2025-06-04T10:00:03+00:00.
Where: Internet (TikTok), general economic discussion.
Why: To find alternative, perhaps more relatable, ways to gauge economic health, especially during potential recessions.
How: By observing changing consumer preferences in discretionary spending, specifically nail care, and comparing it to historical 'luxury' spending patterns during economic shifts.

The article discusses the emerging 'recession nails' trend on TikTok, where influencers suggest that a wobbly economy leads people to opt for understated, neutral manicures instead of elaborate, expensive ones. It explores the concept of using non-traditional indicators like the 'lipstick effect' and 'men's underwear index' to gauge economic health, while also presenting an economist's view that such trends are merely fashion cycles unrelated to the economy.